Hello,
I've been reading a lot about early modern development and the establishment of the grounds for the post-1500 European population boom. Most authors seem to concur that prior to 1500, the population obeyed Malthusian rules, and was restricted by the amount of arable land. There was a very slow increase thanks to minor increases in agricultural productivity, but for the most part, an area was constrained by its crop production. However, after 1500, starting in the Netherlands and then expanding to other countries like England and the Nordic group, population growth began to increase, although still at a linear rate, unlike the exponential growth of the Industrial Revolution.
This seems to imply to me that what's happening at this stage is one of two things a) that land productivity is increasing linearly - enough to sustain a similar increase in population, or b) countries like England and the Netherlands were becoming disproportionately wealthy enough to import large amounts of grain from other countries (although this doesn't explain the slightly later European-wide rise). What I don't understand is why this is, and why it didn't spread to other countries faster. Was there a key type of new plough invented, or a different system of land holdings that incentivised higher productivity, or some either series of key inventions or discoveries? If there was a specific series of inventions that led to this agricultural improvement, why did they not spread to other countries very quickly - France and Spain don't really see population booms until the Industrial era. How come these inventions seem to occur at a regular rate, instead of a one-off increase as a result of a one-off invention, and then no more? Alternatively, if England and the Netherlands had become wealthy enough to import excess grain, that implies they were disproportionately wealthy before the population boom of 1500 (1600 for England). If this is true, what lead them to become disproportionately wealthy so early on?
Second, why were England and the Netherlands capable of sustaining growth per capita at the same time as this population growth? It seems intuitive to me that if you experience population growth, but you're operating in a pre-industrial society, then you shouldn't necessarily see per capita growth unless capital productivity which sustains wealth is increasing at a faster rate than agricultural productivity which sustains population. If this was the case, what key inventions, discoveries, or social changes caused this to happen in England and the Netherlands? If it was something like the establishment of artisan guilds that could make high quality, in-demand products (just hypothesising, this is almost certainly not right), why did a) this happen in these countries first, and b) why was it not copied by other countries quickly?
Thank you very much for any answers. I'd really appreciate some good reading material as well, particularly stuff available online. :)
There really wasn't a significant invention. The adoption of crop rotation to end fallowing came about 1000 AD. The adoption of the potato was still 300 years away.
There was however a social/political revolution in what is termed the Renaissance. More importantly capitalism. By 1450 the black death had run its course. Many of the old wealthy noble families were financially ruined or dead. This freed millions of people from serfdom. There was also a great deal of available land from the estates of the former nobles and areas decimated by the plague. This meant that former serfs were now independent farmers in business for themselves. This led to increases in agricultural production. To supplement their income from agriculture farmers also began to produce textiles in the emerging cottage industry. These textiles tended to be of lower quality than those produced by the guilds but they also came with a lower price. This served to significantly weaken the guilds moving wealth away from guild cities and out into the general population. This meant new customers and new markets for everybody.
Also at this time we see the solidification of most of Europe under strong Monarchies England, France, Sweden all see a shift from internal warfare to a mostly stable state.
Columbus discovers the new world. Trade between Europe and Asia increases. New colonies in America provide the chance for riches. Warfare became too complex for peasants and Mercenary armies become the standard (this means peasants can stay at home and farm and weave while wars are fought by professionals. It also means that families can send their sons off to seek fortune further spreading money to the masses)
There are thousands of small things that affected this growth but I think the largest by far is the spread of capitalism and independent ownership.