Sorry, but your submission has been removed because we don't allow hypothetical questions. If possible, please feel free to rephrase the question so that it does not call for such speculation, and resubmit Otherwise, this sort of thing is better suited for /r/HistoryWhatIf.

And yes, I noted this part

To all the mods rubbing their hands right now: I am not asking for an alt-history but for the opinion of professional historians.

Regardless the "what if" and "further" breaks both the alt-history and the throughout history rules.