OP, this question has been asked in the present tense, which suggests that you're asking about the current state. Just a reminder that current affairs - which we've defined as anything within the last 20 years - are off limits in this subreddit. As such, you may prefer to x-post this question elsewhere.. perhaps a political, scientific, or military subreddit.

Meanwhile, a reminder to potential respondents, not only of the 20-year rule, but also to avoid conjecture and opinion: answers should be in-depth, and based on solid source material.