How logical are Ibn Khaldun's theories on the rise and fall of empires/dynasties?

by HiHelloGoodDay

I would love to make an education YouTube video talking about his ideas, but I wonder how bad they are for this.

Mr_Pollos

His ideas about the rise and fall of empires are logical enough to be formalized to an extent. “Secular Cycles” by Turchin and Nefedov is one of the foremost examples, you can find the first chapter in the Princeton press page here. If you want to know more about this school of analysis you should search for “structural demographic theory” there are plenty of peer reviewed articles there, vouching for its academic respectability. Then again, these fields are somewhat distant from the ones in which Ibin Khaldun dwelt. this article is somewhere in between.

His other positions seem to be similarly sound, he was right at least when recommending high urbanization/population densities. Since there seems to be a correlation between wealth and cities(map). This can be attributed to [economies of scale] (https://app.box.com/s/pdaosd00t0qn66w579bouk1re00peusn), amongst other things.

cleverchris

Hmm maybe not the best place to start if the series is meant to be an introduction to theories of history but, if its more targeted to people already somewhat familiar with philosophy it could be really interesting to hear his ideas explained and how they influenced the development of later knowledge.

What audience were you thinking this video should be for?