Were Japanese coastal fortifications already bombed out, or would the US have faced opposition like they did on the beaches of Normandy? Would British or other Allied troops have participated?
The Japanese were expecting an invasion for some time, and had worked to fortify the island of Kyushu (the target of Operation Olympic, to bel launched on X-Day, November 1, 1945) by moving troops from other parts of Japan. The Sixth Army estimated that on August 1, 1945, 421,000 Japanese troops were on Kyushu, comprising nine divisions and a large number of other troops. By the end of the war fourteen days later, this number had swelled to about 680,000 (14 divisions) All known landing beaches had been heavily fortified. The Japanese home islands were believed to be particularly vulnerable to gas attack due to predictable wind patterns, but Japanese troops (but not civilians) on Kyushu were suitably equipped to defend against gas. Similar to early landings in the Pacific, the Japanese aim for defending Kyushu was to attempt to crush the landing at the beachhead, making heavy use of artillery and tanks (new tank types developed by the Japanese, comparable to the U.S. M4 Sherman, had been held back in the home islands in expectation of an invasion)
On the U.S. side, the Eighth Air Force was to be redeployed to the Pacific and equipped with B-29s; this process had already begun as the war in the Pacific drew to a close. The British and Canadians were also to contribute long-range aviation in the form of "Tiger Force", 22 squadrons (later reduced to 10) of heavy bombers. The ground invasion force would have been the largest ever assembled for an amphibious operation;
U.S. Sixth Army:
| Location | Divisions |
|---|---|
| Nakakoshiki Ura & Koshiki Retto (X-4) | 40th Infantry Division and 158th RCT with supporting units |
| Kushikino (V Marine Amphibious Corps) | 2nd, 3rd, and 5th Marine Divisions with supporting units |
| Ariake Bay (XI Corps) | Americal (23rd Infantry) Division, 1st Cavalry Division, 43rd Infantry Division, and 112th Cavalry RCT with supporting units |
| Miyazaki (I Corps) | 25th, 33rd, and 41st Infantry Divisions with supporting units |
| Floating Reserve (IX Corps) | 77th, 81st, and 98th Infantry Divisions with supporting units |
| Follow-on units (if necessary) | 11th Airborne Division |
Reserve:
| Corps | Units |
|---|---|
| Unnamed | 6th, 7th, and 96th Infantry Divisions |
The invasion of Honshu, scheduled for March 1, 1946, would have been even larger; many veteran units were to be transferred from Europe.
U.S. First Army:
| Corps | Units |
|---|---|
| III Marine Amphibious Corps | 1st, 4th, and 6th Marine Divisions and supporting units |
| XXIV Corps | 7th, 27th, and 96th Infantry Divisions and supporting units |
| Follow-on Corps (unnamed) | 5th, 44th, and 86th Infantry Division and supporting units |
U.S. Eighth Army:
| Corps | Units |
|---|---|
| X Corps | 24th, 31st, and 37th Infantry Divisions and supporting units |
| XIII Corps | 13th and 20th Armored Divisions and supporting units |
| XIV Corps | 6th, 32nd, and 38th Infantry Divisions and supporting units |
| Follow-on Corps (unnamed) | 4th, 8th, and 87th Infantry Divisions and supporting units |
Reserve:
| Corps | Units |
|---|---|
| Follow-on units (if necessary) | 97th Infantry Division, 11th Airborne Division and supporting units |
| Unnamed corps | 2nd, 28th, and 35th Infantry Divisions and supporting units |
| Unnamed strategic reserve corps | 91st, 95th, and 104th Infantry Divisions and supporting units |
It was also planned to include a Commonwealth Corps, (X Corps) made up of up to five British, Australian, Canadian, and other Commonwealth countries' or colonies' divisions
Sources:
Allied Order of Battle for Operation Downfall
The Japanese Plans for the Defense of Kyushu (Interviews with members of the Japanese Second General Army), prepared by the office of the Assistant Chief of Staff of the U.S. Sixth Army, December 31, 1945