How was the French Revolution such a surprise to the nobility and monarchy? Was there not a single noble family warning the king? Any sort of forewarning of any kind?

by hahaheehaha

Watching the show Versailles, you can see how out of touch the nobility was with the common man, but were they that blind? Were there some nobles aware of the growing anger and tried to warn the king? What about the king's spies and security service? It seems like the sheer scale of anger and discontent of the public should be something that is hard to miss by all levels of the government and nobility.

Erusian

I'm not familiar with the show Versailles. But the French Revolution was not an overall surprise. Specific events, like the Tennis Court Oath, were. That it went as far as it did certainly was. But the king, court, and nobility were aware of the discontent. They were acutely aware of the possibility of rebellion as well

The events leading up to the Revolution are not an out of touch monarchy ignoring rising popular discontent but a monarchy attempting to moderate and compromise with popular discontent, failing due to limitations on royal and court power, attempting to revise the constitution to deal with the issue, and having the politics of those constitutional revisions boil over into outright revolt and republicanism.

Indeed, the Assembly of Notables (a body of nobles and powerful men appointed by the King) proposed the following reforms to stave off the Revolution: 1.) a single, uniform tax code with emphasis on a land-value tax 2.) the conversion of the forced labor taxes into a money tax 3.) the abolition of internal tariffs and duties 4.) the creation of elected provincial assemblies 5.) the lowering or elimination of noble tax exemptions 6.) and, the lowering of property requirements to vote or serve

This isn't exactly the program of the Revolutionaries but it certainly would have gone a long way towards eliminating regressive taxes and increasing representation.