There are linguistic reasons and folkloric reasons for making this connection. It seems there was an island in the Aegean from which the Etruscans certainly originated, and it's not unreasonable that this is the island to which the Trojan refugees fled.
When I say Troy, this is how I understand the Trojan War.
This seems almost uncontroversial, though perhaps not completely proven.
With all the nonsense theories about Atlantis and other historical, mythological and religious speculation that has occured, I'm surprised that there's not a more assertive movement among either historians or speculators that Etruria is the legacy of Troy. It seems both cultures had a religious fascination with the idea of fate.
Is there merit to this idea?
A more direct response to this question is still possible, if anyone wishes to contribute, but for now, you may appreciate this older answer by /u/toldinstone: