Was the Third Reich’s war effort doomed from the beginning?

In the United States, and I suspect most of Europe, we’re led to believe that World War Two was a kind of existential battle between the Axis powers and the Allies, and the fate of the world was at stake. There are certainly people more knowledgable than me, but having read a few books on the subject, I find it hard to believe this. I’ve come to conclude that, from the beginning, there was absolutely no path to victory for the Third Reich — it could not have possibly beaten the UK, USSR, and US.

World War Two began because the Third Reich sought to utilize the resources of central and eastern Europe in its forthcoming struggle against Russia. With Russia (and Slavs) out of the way, Aryans would be able to colonize eastern Europe, and create a kind of supranational racial order. So in 1939, Germany invaded Poland. However, the UK and France intervened. In 1940, Germany invaded France, and caught the French off guard by making an unanticipated, but powerful push through the Ardennes Forest. In doing so, the Wehrmacht was able to break the French army into two, and it prevented the French from reforming their line. In about a month, the French surrendered. The Germans were proud of this accomplishment, but these tactics and circumstances could not be replicated against the UK or Russia; the former being an island, and the latter being too massive to knock out in one blow. The Germans had one quick, fortuitous victory but they couldn’t count on two more.

With France out of the way, the Wehrmacht focused on Britain. The British navy was vastly superior to anything the German could put in the North Sea, so in order to invade Britain, Germany would have to secure dominance in the air. The Battle of Britain lasted for a few months in 1940, but in the end, Germany was unable to make progress of any kind. The British could manufacture aircraft at a higher right than the Germans, and at a higher rate than the Germans could destroy British ones. At the end of 1940, Germany was no closer to invading Britain than it had been earlier that spring. It’s important to keep in mind that from the middle of 1940 to the middle of 1941, Britain was the sole adversary of Nazi Germany, so it isn’t as though the Germans were using their resources elsewhere.

Then we have the German invasion of Russia. Like its plans for France, the Wehrmacht hoped to knock Russia out of the war quickly. Operation Barbarossa involved launching an enormous assault on Russia that extended all the way from the Baltic to the Black Sea. The Germans hoped to reach the A-A line, and force the Red Army out of continental Europe. The Wehrmacht began with marked success — I think the Russians lost about two million dead and five million prisoners in the first six months of this conflict. But even this wasn’t enough to wipe out the inexhaustible Red Army, and it wasn’t even close. The Germans were able to make advances into Russia for six months, but once their offensive stalled, it never got going again. The Russians were able to move their armaments factories beyond the Urals and into the Caucuses, and once the Russian war machine got going, the Germans couldn’t come close to matching it. It would take a few years, but the Wermacht would eventually implode on the Eastern Front due to a lack of men and resources.

With all this in mind, I arrive at my question: Was the German war effort doomed from the beginning? I would say yes. Look at these figures (they’re all from Richard Evans’ The Third Reich at War): in 1943, the US produced 86,000 aircraft, the USSR produced 37,000, the UK produced 35,000, and Germany produced 26,000. In 1943, the combined Allied production of machine-guns came to 1,110,000, compared to 165,527 in Germany. There was absolutely no way for Germany to overcome the logistical disadvantages between it and the Allied powers. Keep in mind that the US barely lifted a finger in the European theater. The Allied invasion of Normandy occurred after the German retreat on the Eastern Front had begun. I think WWII can be described as Britain and the US waiting for the USSR to defeat Germany, and invading in the final months solely to have a stake in the post-war solution. By invading, the US prevented all of Europe from falling into the USSR’s hands, but it did not play a major role in defeating the Third Reich. Today, ordinary people, and even many history buffs, look back at the Second World War as an existential conflict in which the fate of the world was precarious for seven years, but I think it makes more sense to view it as a one-sided conflict initiated by an “irrational actor” that happened to take place on the largest scale humanity has ever seen. This is further evidenced by the delusional and literally suicidal leadership of the Nazi staff. What are your thoughts? Is there anything I’m missing?

4 Answers 2020-10-11

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1 Answers 2020-10-11

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1 Answers 2020-10-11

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2 Answers 2020-10-11

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1 Answers 2020-10-11

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1 Answers 2020-10-11

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1 Answers 2020-10-11

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1 Answers 2020-10-11

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1 Answers 2020-10-11

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1 Answers 2020-10-11

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1 Answers 2020-10-11

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2 Answers 2020-10-11

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1 Answers 2020-10-10

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2 Answers 2020-10-10

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1 Answers 2020-10-10

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1 Answers 2020-10-10

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1 Answers 2020-10-10

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2 Answers 2020-10-10

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1 Answers 2020-10-10

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1 Answers 2020-10-10

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1 Answers 2020-10-10

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1 Answers 2020-10-10

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1 Answers 2020-10-10

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